The Slippery Slope of COVID-19- Navigating the Bear Market
Sadly, for many retirees, the slippery slope of retirement transition just got a lot more dangerous.
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Sadly, for many retirees, the slippery slope of retirement transition just got a lot more dangerous.
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Unfortunately, the coronavirus isn’t simply a threat to our physical well-being, it’s also a direct threat to our pocketbooks. And it’s not just working-age Americans who could suffer the consequences. Seniors readying to retire could be forced into unwanted decisions as a direct result of coronavirus mitigation measures.
The closure of nonessential businesses has put many people out of work in a very short period of time. over 10 million people have filed jobless claims, and with more job losses to come and little certainty as to when economic activity will return to normal, unemployed workers will need income. For some, the answer will be unemployment benefits. As part of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, $260 billion was apportioned to bolster the unemployment program and boost weekly payouts by $600 for the next four months.
Unfortunately, some may not have the luxury of choosing when to retire, and many will be forced to retire early. For others who were planning on retiring in the next year or two, they may need to delay retirement. This article is to help those who may be thinking about retiring, as well as for those who will be or have been forced to retire early.
Deciding when to retire may not be one decision but a series of decisions and calculations. For example, you’ll need to estimate not only your anticipated expenses, but also what sources of retirement income you’ll have and how long you’ll need your retirement savings to last. You’ll need to take into account your life expectancy and health as well as when you want to start receiving Social Security or pension benefits, and when you’ll start to tap your retirement savings. Each of these factors may affect the others as part of an overall retirement income plan.
Retiring early means fewer earning years and less accumulated savings. Also, the earlier you retire, the more years you’ll need your retirement savings to produce income. And your retirement could last quite a while. According to a National Vital Statistics Report, people today can expect to live more than 30 years longer than they did a century ago.
Not only will you need your retirement savings to last longer, but inflation will have more time to eat away at your purchasing power. If inflation is 3% a year — its historical average since 1914 — it will cut the purchasing power of a fixed annual income in half in roughly 23 years. Factoring inflation into the retirement equation, you’ll probably need your retirement income to increase each year just to cover the same expenses. Be sure to take this into account when considering how long you expect (or can afford) to be in retirement.
Men | Women | |
At birth | 76.1 | 81.1 |
At age 65 | 83.1 | 85.6 |
Source: NCHS Data Brief, Number 328, November 2018
There are other considerations as well. For example, if you expect to receive pension payments, early retirement may adversely affect them. Why? Because the greatest accrual of benefits generally occurs during your final years of employment, when your earning power is presumably highest. Early retirement could reduce your Social Security benefits too.
Also, don’t forget that if you hope to retire before you turn 59½ and plan to start using your 401(k) or IRA savings right away, you’ll generally pay a 10% early withdrawal penalty plus any regular income tax due (with some exceptions, including disability payments and distributions from employer plans such as 401(k)s after you reach age 55 and terminate employment) Due to the Coronavirus and recent legislation, the early withdrawal penalty may not apply, so be sure to check with your CPA.
Finally, you’re not eligible for Medicare until you turn 65. Unless you’ll be eligible for retiree health benefits through your employer or take a job that offers health insurance, you’ll need to calculate the cost of paying for insurance or health care out-of-pocket, at least until you can receive Medicare coverage.
Postponing retirement lets you continue to add to your retirement savings. That’s especially advantageous if you’re saving in tax-deferred accounts, and if you’re receiving employer contributions. For example, if you retire at age 65 instead of age 55, and manage to save an additional $20,000 per year at an 8% rate of return during that time, you can add an extra $312,909 to your retirement fund. (This is a hypothetical example and is not intended to reflect the actual performance of any specific investment.)
Even if you’re no longer adding to your retirement savings, delaying retirement postpones the date that you’ll need to start withdrawing from them. That could enhance your nest egg’s ability to last throughout your lifetime.
Postponing full retirement also gives you more transition time. If you hope to trade a full-time job for running your own small business or launching a new career after you “retire,” you might be able to lay the groundwork for a new life by taking classes at night or trying out your new role part-time. Testing your plans while you’re still employed can help you anticipate the challenges of your post-retirement role. Doing a reality check before relying on a new endeavor for retirement income can help you see how much income you can realistically expect from it. Also, you’ll learn whether it’s something you really want to do before you spend what might be a significant portion of your retirement savings on it.
Some employers have begun to offer phased retirement programs, which allow you to receive all or part of your pension benefit once you’ve reached retirement age, while you continue to work part-time for the same employer.
Phased retirement programs are getting more attention as the baby boomer generation ages. In the past, pension law for private sector employers encouraged workers to retire early. Traditional pension plans generally weren’t allowed to pay benefits until an employee either stopped working completely or reached the plan’s normal retirement age (typically age 65). This frequently encouraged employees who wanted a reduced workload but hadn’t yet reached normal retirement age to take early retirement and go to work elsewhere (often for a competitor), allowing them to collect both a pension from the prior employer and a salary from the new employer.
However, pension plans now are allowed to pay benefits when an employee reaches age 62, even if the employee is still working and hasn’t yet reached the plan’s normal retirement age. Phased retirement can benefit both prospective retirees, who can enjoy a more flexible work schedule and a smoother transition into full retirement; and employers, who are able to retain an experienced worker. Employers aren’t required to offer a phased retirement program, but if yours does, it’s worth at least a review to see how it might affect your plans.
The sooner you start to plan the timing of your retirement, the more time you’ll have to make adjustments that can help ensure those years are everything you hope for. If you’ve already made some tentative assumptions or choices, you may need to revisit them, especially if you’re considering taking retirement in stages. And as you move into retirement, you’ll want to monitor your retirement income plan to ensure that your initial assumptions are still valid, that new laws and regulations haven’t affected your situation, and that your savings and investments are performing as you need them to.
If you have been forced into retirement from your employer, please understand that you have many options and decisions to make. Unfortunately, most pre-retirees are not equipped to handle the situation on their own–both from a financial knowledge base or from an emotional standpoint. As we have done for our current clients, we would be honored to help you sort through your various options: from Social Security benefits decisions to 401k or 403b rollover options. Please consider giving us a call or scheduling a meeting at your convenience by clicking the button below.
Schedule a short discovery call or meetingSource: Some of the material used comes from Broadridge Investor Communication Solutions, Inc.
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On today’s Intelligent Money Minute, we’ll interview Larry Swedroe on common mistakes made by pre-retirees. Larry discusses several mistakes he has noticed made by pre-retirees. To begin, he states the well-known phrase, “Those who fail to plan, plan to fail.” Though a pre-retiree may have a well-thought-out investment plan, a plan must be made for a successful life after retirement. This can create a complex problem because necessary “ingredients” are left out. Important issues to consider are estate planning, long-term care, and elder abuse. Most noted is the need for a good wealth advisor or quarterback. A good wealth advisor incorporates all of the issues and creates a comprehensive plan. In conclusion, the financial advisor should coordinate with all involved: the tax advisor, the estate planning attorney, the family members, and, most importantly, the client.
We know you’ve worked hard over the years to accumulate wealth, and you probably find it comforting to know that after your death the assets you leave behind will continue to be a source of support for your family, friends, and the causes that are important to you. But to ensure that your legacy reaches your heirs as you intend, you must make the proper arrangements now. We’d love to grab a coffee to see how we may best serve you and your family.
Schedule a short discovery call or meetingWe’ll be interviewing Larry on several podcasts regarding markets, passive investing, and diversification, so be sure to subscribe to our Intelligent Money Minute podcasts.
Larry was among the first authors to publish a book that explained the science of investing in layman’s terms, “The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need.” He has since authored seven more books.
Since joining the Buckingham Strategic Wealth in 1996, Chief Research Officer Larry Swedroe has spent his time and energy educating investors on the benefits of evidence-based investing.
In his role as chief research officer and as a member of the firm’s Investment Policy Committee and Board of Directors, Larry regularly reviews the findings published in dozens of peer-reviewed financial journals, evaluates the outcomes and uses the result to inform the firm’s formal investment strategy recommendations.
Larry’s dedication to helping others has made him a sought-after national speaker. He has made appearances on national television shows airing on NBC, CNBC, CNN and Bloomberg Personal Finance. Larry is a prolific writer, contributing regularly to multiple outlets, including Advisor Perspectives and ETF.com.
Before joining Buckingham, Larry was vice chairman of Prudential Home Mortgage and senior vice president at Citicorp.
Larry holds an MBA in finance and investment from NYU and a bachelor’s degree in finance from Baruch College.
The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act of 2019, better known as the SECURE Act, which originally passed the House in July, was approved by the Senate on Dec.19, 2019, as part of an end-of-year appropriations act and accompanying tax measure, and signed into law on Dec. 20 by President Donald Trump. The far-reaching bill includes significant provisions aimed at increasing access to tax-advantaged accounts. Join us as Hans Blake, CFA, CPA will discuss how the SECURE Act impacts retirees, beneficiaries, parents, and employees, and where there may be opportunities. Be sure to RSVP below to reserve your spot.
Hans has worked with high-net-worth individuals and institutions around the world. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst® (CFA) and Certified Public Accountant (CPA) who managed over $350M before founding Intelligent Investing. Hans has spent his entire career helping people minimize financial stress to maximize their lives.
The Chartered Financial Analyst® charter is considered by many to be the gold standard among financial professionals. Less than 20% of those who start the process ever become CFA® charterholders. Hans writes financial articles and gives public Intelligent Talks. He has been interviewed by The Greenville News, The Greenville Business Journal, NPR, and has appeared on WYFF News 4 to talk about the markets and portfolio management.
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Hans has worked with high-net-worth individuals and institutions around the world. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst® (CFA) and Certified Public Accountant (CPA) who managed over $350M before founding Intelligent Investing. Hans has spent his entire career helping people minimize financial stress to maximize their lives.
The Chartered Financial Analyst® charter is considered by many to be the gold standard among financial professionals. Less than 20% of those who start the process ever become CFA® charterholders. Hans writes financial articles and gives public Intelligent Talks. He has been interviewed by The Greenville News, The Greenville Business Journal, NPR, and has appeared on WYFF News 4 to talk about the markets and portfolio management.
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On today’s Intelligent Money Minute, we’ll interview Rick Ferri on practical tips for pre-retirees. During this episode, Rick provides helpful insight for those who want to set themselves up for retirement. He explains the value of automation because it removes typical investment hinderances. At Intelligent Investing, we can set up automatic contributions and rebalancing alerts. Above all, we believe that having a disciplined process is one of the best ways to grow one’s wealth. Read more about our wealth management philosophy here.
Check out our previous podcasts with Rick on Three Military Discipline Investing Values and The Impact of Investment Expenses. We’ll be interviewing Rick on several podcasts regarding index investing, behavioral finance, and practical tips for retirees, so be sure to subscribe to our Intelligent Money Minute podcasts.
Rick Ferri is a fellow CFA Charterholder, Marine veteran, author, and owner of Ferri Investment Solutions. He continues to write books and articles, provide educational webinars, and teach financial lectures.
Rick Ferri earned a B.S. in Business Administration and an M.S. in Finance. He also holds a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) charter through the CFA Institute. After college, Rick served as a U.S. Marine Corps officer and fighter pilot for 20 years of active duty and reserve service.
Rick’s investment career spans three decades and offers a history of empowering people to achieve their goals. He landed in the brokerage industry in 1989 where he learned the wrong way to invest. As a result of 10 frustrating years, Rick founded one of the country’s first low-fee investment advisory firms. Rick’s firm grew to a sizable business over the next two decades due to the explosion of interest in low-fee investing. This growth provided good-paying jobs to dozens of people and allowed Rick to take on business partners with whom he generously shared his equity.
Ferri Investment Solutions is Rick’s new firm. This modern concept provides even greater value to investors by “unbundling” adviser services whereby clients pay only for the time it takes to assist them. In addition, Rick’s industry consulting firm helps other advisers build their investment practices, and he has launched Core-4 Portfolios to provide simple model portfolios for use by a wide variety of investors.
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On today’s Intelligent Money Minute, we’ll interview Rick Ferri on the impact of investment expenses on a portfolio. During this episode, Rick provides insight on fees and how they can affect performance. Also, he explains why an active manager’s fee, while being the most affordable, may not be the best. At Intelligent Investing, we understand that minimizing your fees helps lower your hurdle rate, allowing returns to hopefully compound at a faster rate. Learn more about what makes us different, here.
Check out our previous podcasts with Rick on Dangers on Backtesting & Performance Managers and The Power of Passive Investing. We’ll be interviewing Rick on several podcasts regarding index investing, behavioral finance, and practical tips for retirees, so be sure to subscribe to our Intelligent Money Minute podcasts.
Rick Ferri is a fellow CFA Charterholder, Marine veteran, author, and owner of Ferri Investment Solutions. He continues to write books and articles, provide educational webinars, and teach financial lectures.
Rick Ferri earned a B.S. in Business Administration and an M.S. in Finance. He also holds a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) charter through the CFA Institute. After college, Rick served as a U.S. Marine Corps officer and fighter pilot for 20 years of active duty and reserve service.
Rick’s investment career spans three decades and offers a history of empowering people to achieve their goals. He landed in the brokerage industry in 1989 where he learned the wrong way to invest. As a result of 10 frustrating years, Rick founded one of the country’s first low-fee investment advisory firms. Rick’s firm grew to a sizable business over the next two decades due to the explosion of interest in low-fee investing. This growth provided good-paying jobs to dozens of people and allowed Rick to take on business partners with whom he generously shared his equity. Rick left the firm a few years ago and is no longer an owner.
Ferri Investment Solutions is Rick’s new firm. This modern concept provides even greater value to investors by “unbundling” adviser services whereby clients pay only for the time it takes to assist them. In addition, Rick’s industry consulting firm helps other advisers build their investment practices, and he has launched Core-4 Portfolios to provide simple model portfolios for use by a wide variety of investors.
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On today’s Intelligent Money Minute, we’ll interview Rick Ferri on surviviorship bias and the dangers of backtesting performance and managers. During this episode, Rick defines survivorship bias and how it can skew one’s investing strategy. He explains how dataset information can be inaccurate due to the exclusion of closed funds. In conclusion, Rick highlights the difficulty in outperforming the market.
At Intelligent Investing, you are the center of our wealth management philosophy. For that reason, we want to get to know you, your family relationships, your dreams, and goals, and not just on a surface-level conversation. Read more about our wealth management philosophy.
Check out our previous podcasts with Rick on The Power of Passive Investing and Remembering the Legacy of Jack Bogle. We’ll be interviewing Rick on several podcasts regarding index investing, behavioral finance, and practical tips for retirees, so be sure to subscribe to our Intelligent Money Minute podcasts.
Rick Ferri is a fellow CFA Charterholder, Marine veteran, author, and owner of Ferri Investment Solutions. He continues to write books and articles, provide educational webinars, and teach financial lectures.
Rick Ferri earned a B.S. in Business Administration and an M.S. in Finance. He also holds a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) charter through the CFA Institute. After college, Rick served as a U.S. Marine Corps officer and fighter pilot for 20 years of active duty and reserve service.
Rick’s investment career spans three decades and offers a history of empowering people to achieve their goals. He landed in the brokerage industry in 1989 where he learned the wrong way to invest. As a result of 10 frustrating years, Rick founded one of the country’s first low-fee investment advisory firms. Rick’s firm grew to a sizable business over the next two decades due to the explosion of interest in low-fee investing. This growth provided good-paying jobs to dozens of people and allowed Rick to take on business partners with whom he generously shared his equity. Rick left the firm a few years ago and is no longer an owner.
Ferri Investment Solutions is Rick’s new firm. This modern concept provides even greater value to investors by “unbundling” adviser services whereby clients pay only for the time it takes to assist them. In addition, Rick’s industry consulting firm helps other advisers build their investment practices, and he has launched Core-4 Portfolios to provide simple model portfolios for use by a wide variety of investors.