Economy

The Four Horsemen of the Retirement Apocalypse

April 15, 2021 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

Reading Time: 2 minutes On today’s Intelligent Money Minute, we interview Larry Swedroe on the four horsemen of the retirement apocalypse. Larry explains the importance of investors not using historical returns for blindly forecasting the future. On the contrary, Larry explains the need to understand how the returns earned value. During the episode, he goes through misconceptions about equity evaluations, optimistic forecasting, and bond yields. Larry explains in detail the four horsemen of the retirement apocalypse:

Equity evaluations are much higher
Bond yields are lower
Longevity risk
Long-term care risk

As Larry mentioned, the Four Horsemen of the Retirement Apocalypse can seem scary and produce fear in your hearts. As you approach or if you are in retirement, there are some ways to plan for such events. At Intelligent Investing, we minimize financial stress to maximize lives. Our goal is to create a written financial plan and stress test your plan and portfolio for these types of events. We’d love to sit down with you over a complimentary coffee or virtual meeting to discuss how we may serve you and your family. Don’t face retirement alone…let us be your financial accountability partner and we can face the future together. Schedule a short discovery call or meeting We’ll be interviewing Larry on several podcasts regarding markets, passive investing, and diversification, so be sure to subscribe to our Intelligent Money Minute podcasts. Larry was among the first authors to publish a book that explained the science of investing in layman’s terms, “The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need.” He has since authored seven more books.

Larry Swedroe Bio

Since joining the Buckingham Strategic Wealth in 1996, Chief Research Officer Larry Swedroe has spent his time and energy educating investors on the benefits of evidence-based investing. In his role as chief research officer and as a member of the firm’s Investment Policy Committee and Board of Directors, Larry regularly reviews the findings published in dozens of peer-reviewed financial journals, evaluates the outcomes and uses the result to inform the firm’s formal investment strategy recommendations. Larry’s dedication to helping others has made him a sought-after national speaker. He has made appearances on national television shows airing on NBC, CNBC, CNN and Bloomberg Personal Finance. Larry is a prolific writer, contributing regularly to multiple outlets, including Advisor Perspectives and ETF.com. Before joining Buckingham, Larry was vice chairman of Prudential Home Mortgage and senior vice president at Citicorp. Larry holds an MBA in finance and investment from NYU and a bachelor’s degree in finance from Baruch College.

The Dimensions Of Active Management

January 20, 2021 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Reading Time: 2 minutes

On this episode of Intelligent Money Minute, we interview Larry Siegel, the director of the CFA Institute Research foundation on the dimensions of active management. In this episode, Larry breaks down the various elements of active management. Active management adds three variables: alpha risk, active return, and the cost of active management. It’s not possible for active management as a class to outperform index funds. This is due to active managers betting against each other, which results in lost money relative to index funds over time. Not every active manager is going to lose. Some active managers will win and some will lose, but how long will those losers stay in the active management game? Probably not very long.

We’ll be interviewing Larry on upcoming Intelligent Money Minute podcast episodes, so be sure to subscribe if you haven’t already. Larry mentioned that the world’s population growth explosion looks to taper off this century, leading to more prosperous countries and individuals, which should allow us to solve some of the environmental enigmas that we currently face.

We agree with Larry that there are sometimes active managers that can outperform, but it is very difficult to find another active manager to take the “losing side” and be willing and able to stay in the game. At Intelligent Investing, we use both passive and active management, and focus on keeping our portfolio costs low. Because we are independent, we don’t need to pay any wallstreet middlemen or pay additional fees in order to keep our “big named-financial firm’s headquarters happy” which helps us remove fees and unneeded costs from our portfolios. If you are interested in becoming the next intelligent investor, please visit investedwithyou.com. We’d be honored to serve you and your family.

Larry Siegel Bio

Laurence B. Siegel is the Gary P. Brinson director of research at the CFA Institute Research Foundation and an author, consultant, and speaker on investment management and economics. Before retiring from full-time work in 2009 he was director of research at the Ford Foundation and, before that, head of research at Ibbotson Associates (since acquired by Morningstar). He attended the University of Chicago (BA 1975, MBA 1977). His book, Fewer, Richer, Greener, has been published by Wiley and is available, along with his other work, at https://www.larrysiegel.org.

How To Invest In A World Of Negative Interest Rates

January 6, 2021 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

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Reading Time: 2 minutes

On this episode of Intelligent Money Minute, we interview Larry Siegal, the director of the CFA Institute Research foundation on how to invest in a world of negative interest rates. Most environments feel unprecedented, but until 2019 there have never been negative interest rates. What does this mean? Essentially, it means locking in a guaranteed loss over long periods. How does one invest when the riskless rate is negative? Larry suggests that investors could either take more risk or budget for lower returns. According to Jack Bogle, the better of those options is to budget for lower returns. This requires one to save more and spend less.

History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. You can either take more risk and hope equities goes up, or you can budget for lower returns. The prudent investors will save more and spend less, and these are the principles we teach our clients. We’d be honored to have you consider becoming a client. To learn more, please visit Get Started.

Larry Siegel Bio

The Secret of Endowment Success

December 16, 2020 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

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Reading Time: 2 minutes

Larry sheds light on the secrets of endowment success. First, he encourages investors to be long-term investors in behavior rather than claiming to be one. Another endowment principle to consider is avoiding performance chasing. Third, keep your investment costs low. Fourth, don’t do what everyone else is doing. Fifth, don’t fear boards and committees. Finally, liquidity is something to consider for your long-term investment strategy. Larry encapsulates his thoughts with a witty quote, “You are not so smart, and other people are not so stupid.”

We agree with Larry’s advice on Investment success. Two of our wealth management principles are patience and discipline. Patience is the decision not to do something wrong. The more often you change your portfolio–actually, there’s evidence that the more often you even look at your portfolio–the lower the return will be. We want to be patient and let investment themes and strategies play out. The second principle is Discipline. Discipline is the decision to keep doing the right things. Discipline says, “I don’t care what’s working now; I care about what’s always worked, and I’m going to persist in doing the things that have, most reliably, always worked.” To learn more about our wealth management principles, please visit our website.

Larry Siegel Bio

Fewer, Richer, Greener with Larry Siegel

November 18, 2020 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Larry credits the inception of his new work to a book written in 2004 by Ben Wattenberg called “Fewer” detailing the end of the population explosion. As a result of Wattenberg’s book, Larry put together a more extensive thought on what will occur when this massive population does indeed decrease. This concept inspired the theme of his new book: Fewer, Richer, Greener. During this episode, Larry explains that population reduction isn’t necessarily a negative thing when coupled with increased wealth. He states that as areas become wealthier they will invest further in their current children rather than adding.

Larry’s book, “Fewer, Richer, Greener” reminds me of one of our wealth management principles, which is to have faith in our future. We regard optimism as the only realism. There will always be something to fear, but we think that progress continues to increase. We want to maintain a positive outlook on life, even when things appear dark or grim. When you are fearful or panicking, please don’t make a foolish mistake you will regret in the future. Let us be your financial accountability partner and emotional ballast through the storms. We are here to serve you.

Larry Siegel Bio

Financial Planning: Helping You See the Big Picture

July 16, 2020 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

Reading Time: 3 minutes

It starts with your goals

Do you picture yourself owning a new home, starting a business, or retiring comfortably? These are a few of the financial goals that may be important to you, and each comes with a price tag attached. That’s where financial planning comes in. Financial planning is a process that can help you target your goals by evaluating your whole financial picture, then outlining strategies that are tailored to your individual needs and available resources.

Why is financial planning important?

A comprehensive financial plan serves as a framework for organizing the pieces of your financial picture. With a financial plan in place, you’ll be better able to focus on your goals and understand what it will take to reach them.

One of the main benefits of having a financial plan is that it can help you balance competing financial priorities. A financial plan will clearly show you how your financial goals are related–for example, how saving for your children’s college education might impact your ability to save for retirement. Then you can use the information you’ve gleaned to decide how to prioritize your goals, implement specific strategies, and choose suitable products or services. Best of all, you’ll know that your financial life is headed in the right direction.

The financial planning process

Creating and implementing a comprehensive financial plan generally involves working with financial professionals to:

Develop a clear picture of your current financial situation by reviewing your income, assets, and liabilities, and evaluating your insurance coverage, your investment portfolio, your tax exposure, and your estate plan
Establish and prioritize financial goals and time frames for achieving these goals
Implement strategies that address your current financial weaknesses and build on your financial strengths
Choose specific products and services that are tailored to help meet your financial objectives*
Monitor your plan, making adjustments as your goals, time frames, or circumstances change

Some members of the team

The financial planning process can involve a number of professionals.

Financial planners typically play a central role in the process, focusing on your overall financial plan, and often coordinating the activities of other professionals who have expertise in specific areas.
Accountants or tax attorneys provide advice on federal and state tax issues.
Estate planning attorneys help you plan your estate and give advice on transferring and managing your assets before and after your death.
Insurance professionals evaluate insurance needs and recommend appropriate products and strategies.
Investment advisors provide advice about investment options and asset allocation, and can help you plan a strategy to manage your investment portfolio.

Remember, the most important member of the team, however, is you. Your needs and objectives drive the team, and once you’ve carefully considered any recommendations, all decisions lie in your hands

Why can’t I do it myself?

You can, if you have enough time and knowledge, but developing a comprehensive financial plan may require expertise in several areas. A financial professional can give you objective information and help you weigh your alternatives, saving you time and ensuring that all angles of your financial picture are covered.

Staying on track

The financial planning process doesn’t end once your initial plan has been created. Your plan should generally be reviewed at least once a year to make sure that it’s up-to-date. It’s also possible that you’ll need to modify your plan due to changes in your personal circumstances or the economy. Here are some of the events that might trigger a review of your financial plan:

Your goals or time horizons change
You experience a life-changing event such as marriage, the birth of a child, health problems, or a job loss
You have a specific or immediate financial planning need (e.g., drafting a will, managing a distribution from a retirement account, paying long-term care expenses)
Your income or expenses substantially increase or decrease
Your portfolio hasn’t performed as expected
You’re affected by changes to the economy or tax laws

Common questions about financial planning

What if I’m too busy?

Don’t wait until you’re in the midst of a financial crisis before beginning the planning process. The sooner you start, the more options you may have.

Is the financial planning process complicated?

Each financial plan is tailored to the needs of the individual, so how complicated the process will be depends on your individual circumstances. But no matter what type of help you need, a financial professional will work hard to make the process as easy as possible, and will gladly answer all of your questions.

What if my spouse and I disagree?

A financial professional is trained to listen to your concerns, identify any underlying issues, and help you find common ground.

Can I still control my own finances?

Financial planning professionals make recommendations, not decisions. You retain control over your finances. Recommendations will be based on your needs, values, goals, and time frames. You decide which recommendations to follow, then work with a financial professional to implement them.

Schedule a short discovery call or meeting

Financial Survival After a Job Loss

July 8, 2020 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

Reading Time: 6 minutes

People Change Jobs Frequently

The best data the Bureau of Labor Statistics has on how many jobs people hold in a lifetime is a longterm study that has followed baby boomers through most of their careers. On average, people hold 11.7 jobs between ages 18 and 48. You may have lost your job already, or it’s something you’re concerned about. Either way, the keys to surviving a job loss financially are to plan ahead, take stock of your income, and cut your expenses.

Plan ahead

If you haven’t been laid off, it’s a good idea to plan ahead for that possibility. It’s hard to know how long you’ll be out of work, so to be on the safe side, prepare for at least six months of unemployment. You might find a job much sooner, but you don’t want to be forced to take the first opportunity that comes along, especially if it isn’t suitable.

Come up with a financial plan for unemployment, and design your plan with some flexibility to allow for adjustments if your situation changes. Circumstances can vary based on how long you’re out of work, and whether unanticipated expenses arise while you’re unemployed.

Prepare a survival budget

A big part of your unemployment plan is a survival budget. Start with a list of all your income and expenses. You might already have a budget that you can use as a base, but your survival budget should be a bare-bones version of your regular budget. Include only expenses that are necessary. The goal of your survival budget is to have a good idea of what income you need to actually survive.

Your plan also should include an emergency fund that’s equal to at least six months of living expenses from which you can draw to supplement other sources of income. If you haven’t set up an emergency fund, you may still have time to do so. You’ll be amazed how fast you can deplete your regular savings if your unemployment lasts more than a couple of weeks.

If you lose your job, find some income

Start by checking with your former employer. Are you eligible for severance pay? Whether it’s available depends on your employer’s policy, but if you’re offered severance pay, you might have the option of taking it in a lump sum or as a continuation of salary for a fixed period of time. Taking severance pay in a lump sum gives you control over your money, but you may lose some employee benefits such as group health insurance. If you take your severance as a continuation of salary, you may be able to keep your benefits, but you’ll be dependent on your former employer’s ability to make payments to you.

But don’t stop there. Check with your local unemployment office to find out if you’re eligible for unemployment benefits. You can receive at least 26 weeks of benefits (more in some cases). Generally, to qualify for unemployment benefits you must have been laid off. You may even qualify if you’ve been fired, so long as it’s not for misconduct. You probably won’t qualify if you quit your job, however.

Reduce your expenses

If you’re unemployed, you may find that your income won’t support your current expenses. Aside from reducing your debt by selling big-ticket items like your car or house, there are other things you can do to minimize your living expenses.

One of your first considerations should be to identify and discontinue discretionary expenses. Such items as magazine subscriptions, health club memberships, extra phone services, credit cards you don’t use that have an annual fee, dining out regularly, and extra pay services on your cable television are examples of some of the expenses you can trim from your budget. You also may have to put off that planned vacation until you’re back on your “working” feet.

Talk with your creditors

Another way to cut your expenses is to try negotiating with your creditors to lower interest rates on your credit cards, defer a payment or two on your car loan, or reduce your monthly payments temporarily. You also may be able to lower your home mortgage monthly payments by refinancing to a lower rate (if you can qualify in spite of your job loss), or by negotiating a longer repayment period. You’ll have to admit that you’re facing some financial difficulty due to your job loss, but if your credit is good, now’s the time to make the calls–not when you fall behind in your payments.

Along those same lines, check with your mortgage company or credit card companies or look at your billing statements to find out if you have credit insurance. Credit insurance will make your bill payments when you’re unemployed. However, you may have to wait a while before receiving benefits.

While technically not an expense, you can also decrease your spending by reducing your contributions to retirement or education funds. However, the less you contribute now, the less you’ll have for retirement or college, so this option should be a last resort. But you might be able to make up for the reduction in contributions by increasing payments to those funds when you’re back on your feet financially.

Increase your income

You’ve cut your expenses and spending as much as possible, but you still don’t have enough income. Here are some ideas that might help you meet your expenses while unemployed.

Consider a part-time or temporary job. This will provide another source of supplementary income while you search for your next full-time job. And your part-time job could turn out to be your next full-time job–or at least it might lead to another opportunity with another potential employer. Also, your spouse or partner may be able to get a job if he or she is not already working, or pick up more hours at a present job.

If you’re really strapped

Your home is another source of savings you may be able to tap into. If you have enough equity in your home, sometimes you can obtain a home equity line of credit even if you’ve lost your job. You’ll only pay interest on the portion you use. But you’ll still have to make a monthly payment, so make sure you’re able to afford the new loan payments before you put your house on the line.

If you’re still strapped for cash, consider withdrawing from your tax-deferred retirement accounts, such as your IRA or employer-sponsored retirement Any money you withdraw from these types of accounts likely will be taxed as ordinary income for the year in which you make the withdrawal. Also, you may have to pay a 10% penalty tax for early withdrawal if you’re under age 59½ unless an exception to the penalty applies.

Tip: If you’re considering taking funds from your IRA or retirement plan, we may be able to guide you regarding the specific tax treatment of your withdrawal, because not all of it will necessarily be taxable. For example, if part of the withdrawal from your traditional IRA or employer’s retirement plan represents nondeductible contributions, you may not be taxed on that portion of the withdrawal.

If all else fails

If money really starts getting tight, be prepared to take more drastic steps. You might consider moving from your home and renting it temporarily. Obviously you’d have to find cheaper alternative housing, but the rental income from your home may be enough to cover your rental expenses while your tenants pay for most of the home costs, such as utilities and even real estate taxes. However, any decision you make in this area should be made with careful consideration, and only after evaluating how much you can actually get out of the deal.

As a last resort, you may have to consider selling bigger items like your car or even your home. Since these larger possessions usually carry a debt, by selling them you’re not only generating some cash, but you’re decreasing your expenses by ridding yourself of the debt attached to the item sold.

All is not lost

A job loss is not the end of the world, even though it may feel that way. Mapping out your priorities and drafting a bare-bones budget can help you come up with your own financial strategy for job loss survival. At Intelligent Investing, we serve many professionals and executives through job loss, job changes, and transitioning into retirement. We’d be happy to have a complimentary call with you to see if we can serve you and your family.

You may also have an orphaned 401k or 403b that you’ve left behind at your former employer. We’d be happy to share our thoughts on your multiple options and how best to utilize those retirement plans. In the meantime, you can check out our rollover page on this very topic.

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Source: Some of the material used comes from Broadridge Investor Communication Solutions, Inc.

5 Financial Questions to Ask Your Spouse

June 11, 2020 by Hans Blake, CFA, CPA

Reading Time: 2 minutes

At Intelligent Investing, one of the things that we believe makes us different is our attempt to unify families with financial communication. We’ve heard stories of people being laid off, paychecks being cut, and many more financial uncertainties. These times can be scary, and we can tend to want to internalize our emotions and not share them with others…leading to more loneliness and depression.

I recently read that China’s divorce spike due to the Coronavirus should be a warning to the rest of the world. If absence makes the heart grow fonder, the opposite might be true, but it doesn’t have to be. We know that financial stress can be a top reason for divorce, but it shouldn’t be. As families are put under new financial and emotional stresses, it is important to make more of an effort regarding your communication with your spouse and family.

Five Financial Questions to Ask

In order to help you get started, here are five financial questions to ask your spouse. Perhaps you can grab a cup of coffee and turn off Netflix for 15 minutes. My hope is that this may lead into deeper conversations.

How financially secure are you feeling and why?
In what ways could we can improve your feeling of financial security?
How much do you think we have in our emergency fund?
Do you think we need more or less in our emergency fund?
What would you want to know financially should something happen to me? (getting laid off, sudden illness, unexpected death)

These are not the only financial questions you can ask, and your list of questions will be better than mine. The point is it starts getting both spouses on the same financial page.

When I asked my wife, Amanda, these questions, one of the things that came out of the conversation was that she wasn’t sure where all our money was should something happen to me. This opens the door for me to better communicate and document that, for example, we have a UK pension plan from the time I worked in London.

It may feel awkward at first—especially if you haven’t had these talks in a while, or ever. However, your spouse will appreciate your effort and it may grow you closer during these times of social distancing.

Need More Help?

If you do find yourself unemployed, be sure to consider whether it is worth rolling over your 401k or 403b. Check out our blog on the topic. Being laid off can be an emotional and scary time. Intelligent Investing was built to help you control your emotions of fear and greed. We’d be happy to take you out for a cup of coffee or lunch to discuss your situation and see if we may be able to help. Also, be sure to check out our Coronavirus’ Impact on Retirement mini-series.

Schedule a short discovery call or meeting